Sunday, March 25, 2018

Why "Never Trump"

This column is another one that I wanted to post on during my prolonged absence, by an never-Trump Republican who has become pro-Trump.  The beginning is revealing:
This may seem like an odd moment for saying so, but a year into the presidency of Donald Trump, I’m elated.
Trump was not my first or even second choice for president, but a full two years ago I predicted he would win. I also predicted he’d be a progressive president, which explained why I was not among his supporters and why I am so pleased now.

Expecting Progressive Trump was a reasonable assumption. Trump supported the 2009 stimulus, the auto bailouts and the bank bailouts. He’d recently left the Democratic Party and had raised a ton of money for the Clintons, Nancy Pelosi and Charles E. Schumer. He’d supported single-payer health coverage, tax increases and even Planned Parenthood.
He was a New York liberal who had conquered the Republican Party in part by promising a good Supreme Court nomination. That was the most I allowed myself to hope for when he won.
Note here the reasons she did not oppose Trump as President.

It wasn't because he knew absolutely nothing about government or policy and showed no interest in learning.

It wasn't because he saw facts and evidence as things he could make up as he pleased, on the fly.

It wasn't because he had the attention span and impulse control of a small child.

It wasn't because his entire career was built on fraud.

It wasn't because he seemed to have no concept of the rule of law, or of the public good aside from his own personal interests, or because he appeared to think that if he won the federal government would be his own private property.

It wasn't because he was blatantly appealing to hate and celebrating base impulses as "authenticity."

It wasn't his threats to use libel and anti-trust laws to silence his critics, or his encouragement of violence at his rallies.

And it wasn't alarm at the prospect of such a man having access to our nuclear codes.

Presumably she would have preferred a candidate without all that baggage.  But none of it was an actual deal-breaker so far as she was concerned.  The only real deal-breaker was the fear that he wouldn't follow conventional conservative priorities and that he was really a liberal.

Likewise, I have occasionally heard the argument that if Trump had run for President as a Democrat, he would also have won.  And I have occasionally heard the argument on the liberal side that we should support the nomination of Trump in the theory that he would be less doctrinaire than other Republican.

All of this ignores just how much all those shortcomings really were deal breakers to any liberal worthy of the name.  Or, I would have to assume, to any conservative worthy of the name.  In the end, all that really matters to the author is the economic royalist agenda.  If accepting egregious corruption, hate mongering, authoritarianism, and and policy by impulse is the price to be paid for cutting taxes and gutting regulation, in the end she was willing to dismiss all these things as trifles of style -- distasteful, yes, but nothing close to a deal breaker.

She goes on to say that Trump may have been forced into the arms of conservatives by the "absolutism and extremism of his critics, whether among the media, traditional Democratic activists or the anti-Trump right" and their "stridency and spite."  Which is simply another way of saying she has no idea why some conservatives (or liberals, for that matter) might conclude that the issues are not the issue and that Trump's character, temperament, and unfitness for office ultimately trump (pardon the pun) any mere trifles of policy.

And that set of priorities explains why some never Trump conservatives have ultimately warmed up to him, while others are turning away from the Republican Party altogether.

Update:

Here, by contrast, is a conservative who remained Never Trump:
If Trump were merely proposing a border wall and the more aggressive employment of tariffs, we would be engaged in a debate, not facing a schism. . . . Trump’s policy proposals — the details of which Trump himself seems unconcerned and uninformed about — are symbolic expressions of a certain approach to politics. The stated purpose of Trump’s border wall is to keep out a contagion of Mexican rapists and murderers. . . . Trump’s policy ideas are incidental to his message of dehumanization. 
So how do we split the political difference on this one? Shall we talk about Mexican migrants as rapists on every other day? Shall we provide rhetorical cover for alt-right bigots only on special occasions, such as after a racist rally and murder?
The point applies in other areas. While some Republicans have criticized media bias, Trump has attempted to systematically delegitimize all critical information as “fake news” and referred to the media as “the enemy of the people.” While other politicians have pushed back against investigations, Trump has attempted to discredit federal law enforcement as part of a “deep state” plot against him.
In other words, what this author sees as the danger in Trump is not any specific policy, which can be grounds for compromise.  It is his authoritarianism and hate mongering.  These are not mere trifles of style, not a mere aesthetic distaste.  They are core.

And, on the liberal side, this author quotes an anti-Trump National Review article during the primary:
“If Trump were to become the president, the Republican nominee, or even a failed candidate with strong conservative support, what would that say about conservatives?” National Review lamented. “The movement that ground down the Soviet Union and took the shine, at least temporarily, off socialism would have fallen in behind a huckster.”
But note here the real fear, which is "socialism," defined by an economic royalist and the existence of any government regulations or services.  The fear is that Trump is a "huckster," impersonating a conservative (i.e., an economic royalist), but really a "socialist," i.e., someone who is not an economic royalist.  The National Review is now expressing its relief that Trump really is an economic royalist after all, and nothing else matters. 

The author goes on to complain:
And the conservatives who warned that Trump’s authoritarian instincts made him unfit for the presidency of a great republic have mostly withdrawn the accusation, even as new confirming evidence appears every week. It is almost impossible to avoid the conclusion that “authoritarianism” simply meant to them the fear that Trump would abuse his power in the service of an agenda other than their own. Trump has dispelled every fear that he would fail to uphold the conservative agenda, while confirming every fear that he does not respect the Constitution. They have revealed that conservatism has no neutral or abstract standards of good government. What was clear only to critics of conservatism before the election is now clear to conservatives themselves: An authoritarian can be a Republican in good standing.
But, once again, presumably to an economic royalist, an authoritarian simply means a "socialist," i.e., someone who favors government services or regulations. An economic royalist (which Trump most certainly is) cannot be an authoritarian from the National Review perspective.

Sunday, March 18, 2018

Stormy Daniels on Twitter

A number of people have commented on Stormy Daniels' extraordinary grace and aplomb on Twitter.  Having looked at her account, I would agree.  She is certainly the wittiest person I have ever seen on Twitter, and she can't be slut-shamed since she is, after all, a porn star.  And what sound arrogant or condescending in others is hilarious when she says it.

But perhaps the most entertaining part of her Twitter account is that she regularly corrects trolls' spelling and grammar, and occasionally their punctuation.  Not everyone could pull that off.

For a college-educated professional, an upscale "blue state" person, or have any claim to expertise, to correct someone's spelling or grammar or punctuation marks you as an elitist snob who doesn't understand Real Americans.  It comes across as patronizing and makes you look like a jerk who won't engage the other person.

Ah, but to have your spelling or grammar or punctuation corrected by a porn star!  Now THAT'S humiliation!

Saturday, March 17, 2018

A (Daniels) Storm Brewing?

Stormy Daniels
Wow!  I've been gone a long time and a lot has happened, more that I could possibly catch up with.  But I will start with the topic of Stephanie Clifford, a/k/a Stormy Daniels.  Yes, it's a frivolous topic, but, hey, her 60 Minutes  interview is coming up and all parties are doing a brilliant job in building the suspense of what she has to reveal.

Why was Donald Trump so desperate to keep their affair secret?  After all, the man revels in his reputation as a swinger.  He loves flash and glamour, so an affair with a porn star seems like just the sort of thing that would burnish his image.

Granted, he was running for President at the time the payoff was made, and what might be glamorous for a mere playboy billionaire might be awkward for a Presidential candidate.  But, as Trump himself said, his followers would forgive him if he shot someone in the middle of Fifth Avenue.  They shrugged off admissions of routine sexual assault.  So why should be get upset about a perfectly consensual affair with a porn star?

Granted, again, his payoff of $130,000, though it may seem like a lot to most people, is pocket change to the Donald.  But Trump did not get to be as rich as he is by being indifferent to money.  Spy Magazine, testing just how attached rich people were, sent them checks for very small sums to see if they would cash.  Trump was one of only two people who cashed checks for as little as thirteen cents.  Also notable is that Trump went to some lengths to launder the payment through his lawyer, that he is suing to stop the broadcast, and that Daniels was purportedly physically threatened (although we don't know whether the threats came from anyone in the Trump circle or from anonymous Twitter accounts.  It makes a difference).

So, even granting that to be revealed as having had an affair with a porn star might be awkward to a candidate for President, that cat is obviously out of the bag.  The affair itself is no longer possible to conceal.  So what is Trump so afraid of?

Some unspeakable perversion.  I must admit, my first thought on Trump going to such lengths to conceal his affair was, "How kinky are we talking about?"  Could Stormy have told us about some unspeakable perversion that Trump would go to any lengths to conceal?  Given that she described sex with him as "textbook generic," it seems unlikely.

Textbook generic sex.  Maybe the horrible secret Trump is so eager to conceal is that he is not (as his second wife reportedly claimed) the world's best lover.  He is actually just "textbook generic."  But I'm sure his supporters will forgive him for that, and the rest of us never believed he was the world's best lover in the first place.

Fear of divorce.  Yes, granted, it seems a safe bet that Melania knew what kind of a man she was marrying when she married him.  And if that somehow escaped her notice, she must have found out soon afterward.  But many is the spouse who can stand fooling around, but can't handle the humiliation of publicity.

Trump's hands are not his only small body part.  The non-disclosure agreement apparently included a requirement for Daniels to return all "still images and/or text messages."  There has been some speculation that the "still images" may include nude pictures of Trump and reveal that the reason he is so sensitive about his hand size is that he does, in fact, have a small penis.  Time was when I would expect the respectable press not to reveal such things, but it is no longer something anyone can count on.  But honestly, does anyone care about the size of Trump's penis?  My guess is that the number of people who care is one.  But maybe his opinion counts for a lot.

Contents of the text messages.  More plausibly, Donald Trump may have said something to Daniels, possibly backed by text messages, that could be extremely embarrassing at best or incriminating at worst.  I have no idea what it would be, but it seems plausible, probably the most plausible explanation.

Or, the unthinkable.  Maybe he paid for an abortion.  Trump's followers on the Religious Right would forgive him for anything from having an affair with a porn star to shooting someone in the middle of Fifth Avenue, but this one just might be a bridge too far.

Or it might be a big anticlimax.  I guess we will find out soon.