But honestly, I never thought we would be taken to the cleaners this badly. Anyone criticizing Obama for not getting the Iranians to agree to halt all enrichment, send all enriched uranium out of the country, scrap its ballistic missiles, stop sponsoring armed proxies, and get nothing in return can just shut up. I don't see how even Trump can sell this as a win.
Preliminary thoughts below.
|
MOU |
Comment |
|
The United
States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran and their allies in the
current war are signing this MOU to declare the immediate and permanent
termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon, and
undertake from now on not to initiate any war or any military operation
against each other, and to refrain from the threat or use of force against
each other, and ensuring the territorial integrity and sovereignty of
Lebanon. The final deal will confirm the permanent termination of the war on
all fronts, including in Lebanon and other provisions of this paragraph. |
Blah (Also, attempts
to bind Israel without asking Israel about that. We will see if that works) |
|
The United
States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran undertake to respect each
other’s sovereignty and territorial integrity and to refrain from interfering
in each other’s internal affairs. |
Blah |
|
The United
States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran commit to negotiating and
achieving the final deal in maximum 60 days, extendable with mutual consent. |
Blah |
|
Immediately
upon the signing of this MOU, the United States of America will begin the
removal of its naval blockade and any disturbances or impediments against the
Islamic Republic of Iran, and will fully end the naval blockade within 30
days. During this period, the traffic of vessels will be in proportion to the
numbers of pre-war traffic being restored by the Islamic Republic of Iran.
The United States of America further undertakes to remove its forces from the
proximity of the Islamic Republic of Iran within 30 days after the final
deal. |
OK, that is
something of substance. The US is
lifting its blockade. But what does
“remove its forces from the proximity of the Islam Republic of Iran”
mean? Only that we withdraw the ships
involved in the blockade? Or does not
mean withdrawing from bases in the Gulf states? My guess is this is deliberately vague and
the parties will fight about what it means later. |
|
Upon the
signing of this MOU, the Islamic Republic of Iran will make arrangements
using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial vessels with no
charge, for 60 days only, from the Persian Gulf to the Sea of Oman and vice
versa. The traffic of commercial vessels will immediately start, and
considering the need for removing the technical and military obstacles, and
demining by the Islamic Republic of Iran will be instated within 30 days. The
Islamic Republic of Iran will conduct dialog with the Sultanate of Oman to
define the future administration and maritime services in the Strait of
Hormuz in discussion with other Persian Gulf littoral states in line with the
applicable international law and the sovereign rights of coastal states of
the Strait of Hormuz. |
The Straits
of Hormuz will reopen. Shipping may
take 30 days to fully resume. Iran agrees
to refrain from collecting tolls for 60 days.
After that, all bets are off. |
|
The United
States of America undertakes with regional partners to develop a definitive,
mutually agreed plan with at least USD 300 billion for the reconstruction and
economic development of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The mechanism for the
implementation of this plan will be finalized as part of a final deal within
60 days. All required licenses, waivers and permissions needed for the
relevant financial transactions will be granted by the United States of
America. |
If that does
not mean reparations, it is a pretty good imitation of it. Of course, Trump stiffs everyone else. Do the Iranians really think they will be
any exception? |
|
The United
States of America undertakes to terminate all types of sanctions against the
Islamic Republic of Iran, including the United Nations Security Council
resolutions, IAEA Board of Governors resolutions, and all unilateral US
sanctions, primary and secondary, in an agreed upon schedule as part of the
final deal. The Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States of America
acknowledge the critical importance of the sanctions termination issue above
mentioned, and expressed their intentions to immediately address these issues
in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them. |
Holy mackerel! This is insane! Of course, Trump stiffs everyone else, so I
wouldn’t bet the rent money on this one. |
|
The Islamic
Republic of Iran reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear
weapons. The United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran have
agreed to resolve the disposition of stockpiled enriched material pursuant to
a mechanism that will be mutually agreed upon in accordance with the schedule
mentioned in paragraph seven, with the minimum methodology to be down blended
on site under the supervision of the IAEA. The two parties also agreed to
discuss the issue of enrichment and other mutually agreed matters related to
the Islamic Republic of Iran’s nuclear needs, based on a satisfactory
framework being agreed upon in the final deal. The final deal will confirm
the provisions of this paragraph. The United States of America and the Islamic
Republic of Iran acknowledge the critical importance of the nuclear issues
above mentioned. They express their intention to immediately address these
issues in the negotiations in order to achieve mutual agreement on them. |
Blah |
|
Pending the
final deal, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran
agree to maintain the status quo. The Islamic Republic of Iran will maintain
the current status quo of its nuclear program, and the United States of
America will not impose any new sanctions and will not deploy additional
forces in the region. |
Blah |
|
The United
States of America undertakes that immediately upon the signing of this MOU
and until the termination of sanctions, US Department of Treasury will issue
waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil, petroleum products and
derivatives, and all associated services, including banking transactions,
insurances, transportation, etc. |
The Ayatollah
will hold Donald Trump’s testicles in a small box on his desk but promises to
give them back once sanctions are lifted.
Seriously,
this is presumably backed by the threat to close the straits if terms are not
met, which is sort of the same thing, except for the world economy. |
|
The
United States of America undertakes to make fully available for use the
frozen or restricted funds and assets of the Islamic Republic of Iran upon
the implementation of this MOU. The United States of America and the Islamic
Republic of Iran will mutually agree on the procedures related to the release
of these funds during negotiations. Such funds, whether retained in the
original account or transferred, shall be made fully usable for payment to
any ultimate beneficiary designated by the Central Bank of the Islamic
Republic of Iran. The United States of America undertakes to issue all
necessary licenses and authorizations accordingly. |
Ditto |
|
The
United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran agree that an
executive mechanism will be established to monitor the successful
implementation of this MOU and the future compliance of the final deal. |
Somehow, I
don’t think this is addressed to nuclear enrichment |
|
After signing
this MOU, and subject to the beginning of the implementation of paragraphs 1,
4, 5, 10 and 11 of this MOU, and the continuing implementation of these
measures, the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran will
start negotiations regarding the final deal exclusively on the other
paragraphs. |
Blah |
|
The final
deal will be endorsed by a binding UNSC resolution. |
Blah |
No comments:
Post a Comment