It seems equally unlikely that he will end the war within 24 hours of being inaugurated, as he promised on other occasions.
But so what, really. Since facts don't matter to the MAGA faithful, Trump can simply not and say he did. If he could claim that he built the wall, made Mexico pay for it, "took the oil" in the Middle East, and even that he saved Obamacare, why not just casually remark that he has ended the war in Ukraine and leave it at that.
And don't forget that Trump has a much stronger propaganda apparatus at hand than he did last time. Last time he was largely dependent on Fox News and talk radio. This time he has social media at his command and more. Tell Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg to spike any stories about the war. Let TikTok know that spiking stories about the war is the price of readmission. Also tell other social media companies that their willingness to spike all stories about the war is the price for avoiding anti-trust actions. Put out the word that any TV station mentioning that the war is still going on will lose its license. Give Jeff Bezos a similar directive for the Washington Post and Patrick Soon-Shiong a directive for the LA Times. Threaten PBS and NPR with a loss of federal funding if they mention the war.
The New York Times may be a somewhat tougher nut to crack, but in order to avoid the appearance of a liberal bias it will doubtless feel obligated to give reports that the war is still ongoing and reports that it is over equal time.
Threaten 50% tariffs against any foreign leader who mentions to war in a public forum that Americans are likely to hear.
And pretty soon all mention of the war will be suppressed and low information voters will fully believe Trump's claims that the war is over and duly give him credit.
That is certainly how I expect Trump to fight inflation, immigrant crime, etc.
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