Saturday, January 26, 2019

The Perils of Victory

One final comment on our side's success in staring down Trump and winning the shutdown.

Victory can be dangerous.  Defeat leads to regrouping and new planning. Victory breeds complacency.  Losers learn lessons from their defeat.  Winners don't see the need.  Winners end up fighting the same fight all over, only to learn that the losers have adapted.  This applies in war and in peace, in international politics and domestic.  Examples are legion.

Republican supreme organization and list of Federalist Society candidates for Supreme Court is the fruit a a long string of defeats in which the federal courts seemed like an insurmountable stronghold for liberals.  Ditto conservative think tanks.

The first, failed attack on the World Trade Center no doubt inspired the second.  It also led to much better evacuation plans and made the second attack less deadly than it would otherwise have been.

Winning the Cold War convince the Blob both that global hegemony is our right, and that we can topple governments at will.

And so forth.

So by all means, let us relish this win.  And then let's start planning for the next confrontation and not expect the other side to make the same mistakes twice.

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